Monte Carlo · Withdrawal · HSA · RMD · Federal + California Tax · 1,000 Sims

Wealth Projection

Born·FRA 67·RMD 75 · SECURE 2.0 · Priority-based draw

Enter Current Balances

$750,000
401k
Trad 401k / IRA
PRE-TAX
Reduces taxable income. Taxed on withdrawal.
$
Roth IRA
Backdoor Roth
TAX-FREE
After-tax in, tax-free growth & withdrawals.
$
HSA
Health Savings Acct
TRIPLE ⚡
Pre-tax in, tax-free growth, tax-free medical.
$
After-Tax
Taxable Brokerage
TAXABLE
After-tax. LTCG rates. Step-up basis for heirs.
$
403(b)
Nonprofit / Education
PRE-TAX
Same as 401k — pre-tax, RMDs at 75, ordinary income on draws.
$
Set contributions in Annual Contributions ↓
ND-IRA
Non-Deductible IRA
PARTIAL
Basis = tax-free · gains = ordinary income · Form 8606.
Balance
$
Basis (Form 8606)
$
401k 67%
Roth IRA 13%
HSA 7%
After-Tax 13%

Annual Contributions

Starting Age45
2565
Auto-set from birth date · override by dragging
Retirement Age65
5575
Stop contributions · auto-clamped to ≤ draw age (65)
Age 50-54: $47,300
Age 55-59: $48,300
Age 60-63: $52,050
Age 64-65: $48,300
401kPRE-TAXMAX ✓
Reduces taxable income. Taxed on withdrawal.
$31K
/yr total
Base contribution
$23,500
$0$23.5K IRS max
Catch-up · Age 50+independent of base
$7,500/yr (age 50-59, 64+) → Roth (SECURE 2.0)
$11,250/yr super catch-up (age 60-63)
Roth IRATAX-FREEMAX ✓
After-tax in, tax-free growth & withdrawals.
$8K
/yr total
Base contribution
$7,000
$0$7K IRS max
Catch-up · Age 50+independent of base
$1,000/yr → Roth IRA
HSATRIPLE ⚡
Pre-tax in, tax-free growth, tax-free medical.
$9.3K
/yr total
Base contribution
$8,300
$0$8.6K IRS max
Catch-up · Age 55+independent of base
$1,000/yr → HSA
After-TaxTAXABLE
After-tax. LTCG rates. Step-up basis for heirs.
$0
/yr total
Base contribution
$0
403(b) Employee contribution
$0
$0$23,500 max
ND-IRA 100% becomes basis
$0
$0$7,000 max
Shares annual limit with Roth IRA · each $ = 100% basis
Employer Match 401k · 403b · goes to pre-tax · excludes from $23,500 employee limit
Global setting — base contributions apply uniformly through retirement age. Catch-up is independent of base amount — you can contribute catch-up even without maxing the base.

Withdrawal Settings

Draw Start Age65
5575
Annual Draw
% of portfolio per year4%
1%8%
Draw Phase Return
Fixed rate · bond-shifted portfolio
5.5%
Accumulation Phase Return
MC mean · ±17% std dev → p10–p90 fan
8%
Balance chart uses geometric mean (6.6%) to match MC median. Higher arithmetic mean reflects expected value; lower geometric mean reflects typical (median) outcome.
Gross Income Target (Median)
$0

Income Sources

SS Start Age67
6270 (max)
Benefit: $59,784/yr (your entry)
SS Benefit at FRA · your entry
Quick estimates by earnings level (FRA at 67)
$/yr
📍 ssa.gov/myaccount → "My Social Security" → "Estimated Benefits" shows monthly amounts at 62 / FRA / 70. Enter the FRA amount above. The slider adjusts for your claiming age using SSA actuarial factors.
Pension
$4,800/yr
$/mo
Starts age
Year 1 income mix (median)
Portfolio draw$0/yr
Social Security$0/yr
Pension$4,800/yr

Inflation & Real Returns

At 3% inflation: nominal 8% return → 4.85% real · draw 5.5% → 2.43% real

Inflation Rateaffects purchasing power of all future values
3.0%
0% (no inflation)3% (historical avg)6% (high)
Nominal at draw start (age 65)
$4,423,165
MC p50 nominal
Real purchasing power
$2,448,999
today's $ at 3% inflation
Purchasing power loss
$1,974,166
inflation erodes this much

One-Off Withdrawals · Large Purchases & Expenses

RV, travel fund, home purchase, renovations — drawn on top of regular income. Choose source and see tax impact.

Age
Description
Amount
From
Est. Tax
$
Tax-free — no federal, no CA
$0 tax
Total · 1 withdrawal
$149,000
$0
est. total tax
Tax estimates: Roth = $0. HSA Receipts = $0. HSA Medical = $0. Pre-Tax / HSA Ordinary ≈ 33% combined (24% fed + 9.3% CA). After-Tax ≈ 19% on ~80% gains (15% fed LTCG + 9.3% CA). Exact tax calculated in model.

Inheritance & Lump-Sum Inflows

One-time inflows at any age — taxable (into pre-tax) or non-taxable stepped-up basis (into Roth or After-Tax)

Your Home State (where you currently live and plan to return)
Progressive to 12%

State Tax Strategy · Residency Planning

Domicile in a no/low-tax state during conversion years. Travel freely — your domicile determines taxes, not where you visit.

Phase 1: Age 6574 · Strategic Domicile
Nevada · 0% income tax
✓ Retirement income exempt
No state income tax. Strong asset protection.
No state income tax. Strong asset protection.
Return to California
Return at Age
75
Age 66Age 90
Phase 2: California (age 75)
California income tax resumes. Your Roth balance will be larger and pre-tax reduced → smaller tax footprint.
Conversion savings: $0 converted at Nevada vs California

Rental Properties

Each property taxed in its own state · income applies all retirement years

HSA Draw Strategy · Balance at Draw Start: $515,718

Tax-free draws open bracket space for Roth conversions.

Receipt Banking Active
No IRS time limit on reimbursements.
Receipt Reimbursement
Stored medical receipts. No time limit. Tax-free, no AGI.
/yr$0
$0$50,000
TAX-FREENo AGI
Retirement Medical
Medicare premiums, dental, vision, prescriptions, out-of-pocket. Tax-free, no AGI.
/yr$0
$0$20,000
TAX-FREENo AGI
Non-Medical (Ordinary)
After 65, no 20% penalty — just ordinary income tax. Elective income lever.
/yr$0
$0$50,000
TAXABLEOrdinary income
Tax-free drawn
$0
lifetime
Ordinary drawn
$0
taxable
HSA at 90
$0
remaining

Roth Conversion · Window: Age 6574

No IRS limit. Starts at retirement. Taxes come from current year income.

Annual Conversion$0
$0$250k (no IRS limit)
Convert for Years0
025 yrs
Conversion Impact
Total converted$0
Est. tax cost$0
RMD reduction at 75$0/yr
State tax saved on conv.

Portfolio Projection · Monte Carlo Bands · Accumulation fan = 1,000 stochastic paths. Draw phase (age 65+): deterministic at 5.5% · fan shows different starting balances, not ongoing market risk.

90th
75th
Median
25th
10th

Portfolio Balance Makeup · Accumulation → Draw · Each bar = start-of-year balance (before that year's draws). Total tracks MC p50 median.

After-tax preserved for heirs
1 purchase · $149,000
Pre-Tax
Roth
HSA
After-Tax
ND-IRA
Light bands = withdrawn for purchases (lavender=HSA medical, orange=HSA ordinary)
Pre-Tax at draw
$2,844,843
SECURE 2.0 corrected
Roth at draw
$706,582
incl. gap conversions
HSA at draw
$515,718
triple advantaged
After-Tax at draw
$356,022
preserved for heirs

Annual Income Breakdown (age 65–90) · Phase 1: Nevada → California at 75 · Tax bar at top

Pension
SS
HSA Receipts
HSA Medical
HSA Ordinary
After-Tax
Pre-Tax
RMD
Forced RMD
Roth
Tax (top)
State Rental
↑ Inflow

Bars scaled to after-tax income. Red tax bar on top. Total height = gross income (unchanged). Hover for original gross amounts, federal + CA breakdown, and net income.

Tax Estimate · Federal + California · MFJ · 2025 Federal Brackets

Federal: pre-tax + pension + 85% SS + HSA ordinary + conversions − $33,200 std ded (MFJ 65+). CA: same but SS excluded − $10,404 std ded. Roth draws tax-free in both. IRMAA, AMT, itemized deductions not included.
MC Portfolio at Draw Start · Age 65
Balance at Age 90

Export Report

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Strategy Optimizer

Search 4,608 combinations × 8 draw-rate tests = 36,864 computations. Finds max sustainable draw %, lifetime wealth, and tax for every strategy.

Probability of Reaching by Age 65 · Monte Carlo · Targets auto-scale to your scenario (p10 → p25 → median → p75)

0%
$1.00M
chance of reaching
0%
$1.50M
chance of reaching
0%
$2.00M
chance of reaching
0%
$3.00M
chance of reaching

1,000 MC sims. Home: California · Phase 1: Nevada → Return at 75. Rental taxed in home state. Gap conversions taxed outside model. 50-state brackets (2024–2025, verify flagged states in Admin). Not financial advice.